For 14 years between 2004 and 2017 the winner at Indian Wells 99% of the time was Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic or Rafael Nadal except for in 2010 when Ivan Ljubicic saw off Andy Roddick 7-6 7-6.
Winners since 2017 including 2018 champion Juan Martin Del Potro and 2019 champion, Dominic Thiem. Neither them or the big three are back in California which means we are guaranteed a new winner at Indian Wells, but who?
The Top Seed
It is difficult to look past Daniil Medvedev, his closest contender is probably Zverev but I think Daniil has more steel in his game and is deals with conditions a little better than the German.
He will be coming in off the US Open title so his usually high confidence you imagine will be right up there. Daniil is a player I love to watch, he plays effective tennis and gets the job done. There isn’t much nonsense with his tennis in the early rounds and that for me is massive!
For me he is the favourite but lets see what happens and who else could contend Medvedev and Zverev…
Tsitsipas to challenge?
Stefanos is the second seed, he has to be considered a favourite but I do worry that there is too much of a circus around him at the moment.
Since Roland Garros the momentum he was carrying this season has gone. I honestly don’t think enough has been said about his loss and how that would’ve effected him being two sets up. I also don’t think he has helped himself since, the toilet breaks have become a circus created by him and has lost a lot of respect from fans.
I hope he finds his form again and forgets the last few months, it has been messy and I don’t think has helped by his coach talking about it on social media, it has been a tornado fuelled when it should’ve just petered out.
The rest of the top 10…
Rublev – I’m not feeling it, his game feels a bit lost at the moment. With respect his best chance would be everyone else losing early.
Berrettini – An outsider, he has it in him. I would like to see him against a top three seed and really make a big push!
Ruud – I like the progress he has made lately but I think this is more of a points building exercise but I would love to be proved wrong!
Auger-Aliassime – Still waiting for a spark against a big player and consistency, good runs at the last two majors but I want more.
Hurkacz – He has the game but I want to see more ruthless tennis. Miami champion, could he complete the sunshine double?
Shapovalov – Not happening for him since Wimbledon which is a great shame. His season has gone flat and game a little lost.
Sinner – He does continue to impress, he has been gradually improving and I think he will continue to do big things on the tour!