Expect the unexpected in women’s tennis. Even with some of the best involved, the high level throughout women’s tennis means nothing is a given.
Karolina Pliskova had surprisingly never made it past the fourth round at Wimbledon despite her game suiting grass and hadn’t won a match against a top ten ranked player at a major since Serena Williams at the US Open in 2016!
Barty is a contender wherever she goes, the Aussie dropped a set on day one against Carla Suarez Navarro and hasn’t looked back since. I love watching her play, tactically I don’t think there are many better than her on the tour.
So, who wins on Saturday?
Ash Barty leads the head to head at 5-2:
2012 – Nottingham 2 – 2-6 6-3 7-6 Barty
2016 – Nottingham – 7-6 7-6 Pliskova
2017 – Wuhan – 4-6 7-6 7-6 Barty
2018 – US Open – 6-4 6-4 Pliskova
2019 – Miami – 7-6 6-3 Barty
2019 – WTA Finals – 4-6 6-2 6-3 Barty
2021 – Stuttgart – 2-6 6-1 7-5 Barty
The recent form is in the favour of the world number one, they have good battles but Ash has come on top in the last three including in Stuttgart a couple of months back.
Where will it be one of lost?
My concern for Barty is the second serve, if it is sitting up I expect Pliskova to go for it. You cannot sit back at a Wimbledon final, I don’t think she’d have imagined herself to be here so don’t leave on Saturday with regrets.
A problem those for the 29 year old could be the variety of Ash Barty, no one mixes it up quite like the Aussie, she has come through to the final impressively but this will be a hell of a challenge.
Pliskova will look to take the ball early, the short ball will be pounced on and both ladies’ forehand has been epic this tournament.
Pressure on one more than the other? I’d say more on Barty as the world number one, I do think she will win in a meeting between two first time Wimbledon finalists since 1977.